Salman Khan’s Maatrubhumi day-one forecast: Rs 6-10 crore

Pinkvilla’s box-office tracking desk has shared first-day projections for three upcoming releases, and the biggest number belongs to Salman Khan’s delayed war drama Maatrubhumi. The trade tracker is forecasting a Rs 6-10 crore nett opening when the film arrives on 4 December 2026.

Three films, three opening ranges

The forecasts are organic estimates, not final collections, and Pinkvilla notes that inorganic feeding cannot be predicted. Here is where each title lands:

• Gunmaaster G9 (27 November 2026): Rs 4-7 crore nett, with a pinpoint forecast of Rs 4.50 crore and possible upside to Rs 7 crore.
• Maatrubhumi (4 December 2026): Rs 6-10 crore nett.
• Eetha (4 December 2026): Rs 5-8 crore nett.

Maatrubhumi leans entirely on Salman Khan

Maatrubhumi was originally scheduled for the first half of the year before it was pushed. Pinkvilla describes it as a low-production-value war/military film with an Indo-China setting, a genre with limited takers. The opening projection is essentially Salman Khan’s face value: without him, the tracking team suggests, the film would be a non-opener.

That is the central risk. Salman remains one of the country’s biggest crowd-pullers, but his recent run has been uneven. A Rs 6-10 crore opening assumes the audience shows up for the star even when the packaging around him is thin.

Gunmaaster G9 and the franchise question

Gunmaaster G9 releases first, on 27 November. It sits in a commercial lane that has produced recent wins, including Awaraapan 2, and Emraan Hashmi has delivered hits here before. But the tracker draws a line: Awaraapan 2 had IP value, while this film does not. Hashmi’s solo initial pull has been quiet for a while, so the forecast is a cautious Rs 4-7 crore nett.

The trailer dropped yesterday and the early response is positive. One song is said to be connecting, and Pinkvilla sees music as the swing factor for the upside.

Eetha looks like a Maharashtra-first bet

Eetha, also due on 4 December, is being read as a film that caters primarily to Maharashtra. The state is a large enough market to carry a title on its own, and Pinkvilla floats a possible “mini-Chhaava” scenario if it clicks. Outside Maharashtra, the film needs its music to lift initial interest and word of mouth to do the rest. The opening range is Rs 5-8 crore nett.

Why these numbers matter

The forecasts are less about exact collections than about which commercial engine is doing the heavy lifting: a star’s pull, a franchise’s tailwind, or a regional stronghold. Pinkvilla also notes its Ramayana: Part One call came in below range because of an underweighted pre-Diwali factor, one of the few misses in an otherwise strong tracking year.

Source: PINKVILLA

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